There is no good science to back new
American and Canadian policies of
vaccinating children under the age of 2
against the flu, a new report claims.
However, the researchers stress, this
doesn't mean the vaccine is ineffective
in toddlers; it just means it needs to
be studied further.
"In children below the age of 2, we
could find no evidence that the vaccine
works, but that does not mean that the
vaccine doesn't work," said Dr. Tom
Jefferson, lead author of the study,
which appears in this week's issue of
The Lancet. "The data is insufficient to
draw any conclusion," said Jefferson,
who works at Cochrane Vaccines Field, in
Rome, Italy. "We need more research."
The researchers also did not find any
convincing evidence that vaccines have
an effect on death rates, hospital
admissions, serious complications and
transmission of the flu. Again, this
doesn't mean that the vaccines are
ineffective, just that there's no
research to prove they work.
But before making vaccination of very
young children a public health policy,
Jefferson and his colleagues believe
large-scale studies need to be conducted.
As the study authors pointed out,
both the United States and Canada have
already started vaccinating children
under the age of 2 against the flu.
Infants aged 6 months to 23 months were
included in recommendations starting in
the 2004-05 flu season. Historically,
vaccination efforts have targeted people
65 and older.
U.S. federal statistics released
earlier this month revealed that 57.3
percent of children aged 6 months to 23
months were vaccinated from September
through December 2004. At the time, Dr.
Julie Gerberding, director of the U.S.
Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention, called those results "wonderful"
-- especially since a 2002 survey showed
that only 7.7 percent of children in
this age group were immunized.
The current review looked at the
available data on the efficacy and
effectiveness of the flu vaccine on
children 16 years old and younger.
Efficacy meant any reduction
laboratory-confirmed cases of the flu (children
who actually got infected), while
effectiveness referred to a reduction in
symptomatic cases, which is measured by
reductions in mortality,
hospitalizations, school absenteeism,
transmissions, and other indicators.
This analysis was part of a longer
review, which should be released this
summer.
The authors identified 25 comparative
studies that evaluated the efficacy
and/or effectiveness of flu vaccines in
children aged 16 and younger. They
looked specifically at flu, flu-like
illness, hospital admissions, school
absences, complications and secondary
transmissions.
Overall, vaccines with live viruses
had a 79 percent efficacy and 38 percent
effectiveness in children older than 2,
compared with no immunization or a
placebo.
Inactivated vaccines had an efficacy
of only 65 percent and, in children
under 2, were similar in their effects
to placebo. They had an effectiveness of
about 28 percent in children over 2.
Vaccines seemed to be effective in
reducing long school absences, but
otherwise had little effect on hospital
stays and other measures when compared
with a placebo or no intervention. This
information was based on a small number
of studies, however.
Information for hospitalizations was
similarly weak. "One small Italian study
looked at length of hospitalizations and
found no difference, but the number of
children was very small, so you'd be
wrong in concluding that it doesn't work,"
Jefferson said. "We just don't know."
The problem with ascertaining
effectiveness, said Dr. Keith Powell, a
member of the American Academy of
Pediatrics' infectious diseases
committee, is that kids may be
hospitalized or miss school because of
any number of respiratory infections. "The
average kid has eight respiratory
infections a year," he said. "Only one
of those is going to be the flu."
"Unless we're doing something to
diagnose and distinguish between the two,
you wouldn't know if you just looked at
hospital rates by age for respiratory
illness," he added.
While Jefferson called for more
research, Powell said he believes it is
still a good idea to vaccinate kids aged
6 to 23 months.